Oxford Law, in numbers.
Five cycles. 1,814 applicants. Every figure from a primary FOI release.
Four chapters. Every figure from a primary source.
Five cycles. 1,814 applicants. Every figure from a primary FOI release.
Oxford received 2,115 applications and made 252 offers for the 2025-26 cycle — an offer rate of 11.9%.[12] The cohort is 8.4-8.8x oversubscribed and the offer rate has sat in the 11-15% band for five consecutive cycles.
The whole 2025 pool averaged 24.51 on Section A.[1] If your diagnostic is 26 you are at the median of everyone who applied — that is not enough.
Offer holders averaged 30.92 on Section A and 65.29 on the essay.[1] A finished score of 31 puts you at the centre of the offer distribution.
Across the 2025-26 cycle, 252/2,115 of applicants received an offer.[12] The rate is roughly 1-in-8.
Every cycle since 2021-22 in one frame. Applications hold steady around 2,050-2,150;[8][9][10][11][12] offers sit at 240-252; the shortlist size never strays far from 600. The 2025-26 cycle is the lowest offer rate in the five-year window.[12]
Figure 1 · Five-cycle funnel
| Cycle | Apps | Shortlisted | Offers | Shortlist rate | Offer rate | App MCT | SL MCT | Off MCT | Off essay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-22 | 2046 | 603 | 228 | 29.5% | 11.1% | 22.5 | 27.03 | 28.25 | 64.05 |
| 2022 | 2141 | 666 | 240 | 31.1% | 11.2% | 24.2 | 28.3 | 30 | 65.7 |
| 2023-24 | 2125 | 598 | 241 | 28.1% | 11.3% | — | 29.46 | 31 | 64.94 |
| 2024-25 | 2061 | 641 | 247 | 31.1% | 12.0% | 24.5 | 29.18 | 30.96 | 65.41 |
| 2025-26 | 2115 | 630 | 252 | 29.8% | 11.9% | 24.94 | 29.37 | 30.48 | 65.21 |
Applications climbed from 1,291 (2008) to 1,814 (2025), a rise of 41%.[7][1] Offers have barely moved — the implicit acceptance rate has fallen from roughly 20% in the late 2000s to 12.95% in 2025.
Figure 2 · Long-run trend
Pattern 1 — the offer ceiling. Oxford's tutorial system caps cohort size at roughly 240-250 students across all 30+ colleges. Tutorial capacity, not applicant quality, sets the intake. Applications climbing from 1,300 to 1,800 means the marginal applicant in 2025 faces a tighter funnel than the marginal applicant in 2014 — even if their LNAT score is identical.
Pattern 2 — the MCQ gap is what matters. Applicant-pool MCQ averages have drifted: 23.1 (2014) → 21.8 (2018) → 24.51 (2025). The offer-holder average has held more stable: 28 (2014) → 30.92 (2025). Test difficulty has fluctuated; what hasn't is the gap between offer holders and the rest. That gap (5-7 marks) is the bar.
Don't be misled by year-on-year drift. If the 2024 offer-holder average is 31.0 and the 2025 is 30.5, that's noise, not a trend. Build your prep target off the most recent solid figure — currently around 30-31 for an offer-holder MCQ — and don't try to time the cycle.
The University's central admissions report aggregates 2022-2024 cycles to give a steady-state view of Oxford's most over-subscribed courses. Law (M100) sits at 10 applications per place — the 7th-most-oversubscribed of Oxford's 25 largest courses.[14]
The figure puts Law alongside the other most-competitive Oxford courses. Economics & Management (~17 apps/place), Computer Science (~14), and Medicine (~11) are above; Law sits in the next tier with Maths and PPE. By the 2025-26 cycle Law's ratio had risen slightly to 8.81,[12] but the structural picture has been steady for a decade.
The course is large enough that a strong-on-paper candidate isn't competing against a tiny boutique pool: year-to-year variation is small and the bar is institutional. The cohort is also large enough to be redistributed via the pool — roughly 40% of offers in any given cycle come from a college other than the candidate's first choice (see the Interview page for detail).
Oxford's Annual Admissions Statistical Report 2025 publishes Law-specific demographics aggregated across the 2022-2024 cycles.[14] Two findings stand out: state-school students make up 76.6% of UK admitted Law students — among the highest of any Oxford course — and 21.3% are from POLAR 1-2 (areas of low HE progression), the highest of any of Oxford's 25 largest courses.
| Group | UK Apps | UK Offers | UK Admitted | Offer rate | Admit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State school | 3,137 | 394 | 341 | 12.6% | 10.9% |
| Independent school | 746 | 110 | 104 | 14.7% | 13.9% |
| ACORN 4-5 (most disadvantaged) | 941 | 126 | 101 | 13.4% | 10.7% |
| POLAR 1-2 (low HE progression) | 901 | 123 | 102 | 13.7% | 11.3% |
| FSM eligible | 404 | 58 | 42 | 14.4% | 10.4% |
| Female | 2,779 | 328 | 295 | 11.8% | 10.6% |
| Male | 1,361 | 212 | 184 | 15.6% | 13.5% |
| BME | 1,663 | 189 | 168 | 11.4% | 10.1% |
| Asian | 834 | 85 | 76 | —% | —% |
| Black African / Caribbean | 330 | 41 | 33 | —% | —% |
| Mixed Heritage | 364 | 43 | 39 | —% | —% |
Once you reach the FSC review, offer rates compress across socio-economic groups: state school 12.6%, independent 14.7%, ACORN 4-5 13.4%, FSM-eligible 14.4%, POLAR 1-2 13.7%.[14] The 2-3 percentage-point gap between state and independent schools is real but small. The shortlisting algorithm's contextualisation does most of the work here: ranking GCSEs against school performance neutralises much of the raw gap between school types.[6]
The gender gap is wider. Male applicants have a 15.6% offer rate vs female 11.8%. The gap appears in the LNAT MCT data too: 2021-22 male offer holders averaged 28.9 vs female 27.7 on Section A.[8] Whether the gap is selection-side, test-side, or shortlisting-side is unclear from public data.
In 2025-26, 31.73% of applicants were Overseas (non-UK / non-EU), 9.08% EU, and 59.2% Home.[12] The cGCSE methodology works less neatly for non-UK qualifications; Oxford uses a separate contextualisation for international applicants, which they don't publish in detail. International applicants face the same LNAT bar and the same interview process; the verification of school context is less granular.
Every numerical claim above ends in a [n] superscript that links here. Each link opens the primary FOI attachment, faculty-published report, or official course page.
First publication of the 80%/10%/10% (cGCSE/MCT/essay) shortlisting weighting. Without-cGCSE 50/50 fallback. Spreadsheet-of-strong-candidates rescue mechanism.
Demographic baseline aggregated across 2022-2024. UK applications, offers, admits by school type, ACORN, POLAR, gender, ethnicity.
Per-applicant Section A, essay, college, and offer outcome for all 1,814 applicants to BA Jurisprudence in the 2025 cycle.
Faculty-level publication. Funnel, LNAT averages, demographic split, and shortlisting weighting for the 2021-22 cycle.
Funnel, LNAT min/max and average ranges, second-interview activity for 2022. First explicit publication of the 3-point rank methodology.
Course-1 / Course-2 split, super-LNAT pull-in rule, bGCSE pull-in rule, second-interview redistribution detail.
1-5 interview scoring scale, GCSE-shortlisted vs GCSE-offered means, six-criterion tutor rubric, redistribution priority for deprived backgrounds.
Oxford Information Compliance Team disclosure of the No More Marking platform criteria distinguishing high-mark from low-mark essays.
Aggregated cycle-by-cycle Oxford Law applications, offers, and LNAT averages from 2008 to 2018.
Per-college applications, shortlisting, and offers for the 2022 and 2023 admissions cycles.
Per-college funnel and LNAT score averages for the 2024 admissions cycle.
Refusal under FOIA s.43(2) to disclose the exact contextualised GCSE formula. Confirms cGCSE adjusts raw GCSE record against the school's KS4 attainment baseline.
More on the LNAT, grades, and the interview.
See how applicants progress through each stage across 2021-22 to 2025-26.
View the funnel →Explore application numbers from 2008 to 2025 and long-term patterns.
View the trend →76.6% state school, 21.3% POLAR 1-2 — the 2022-2024 aggregate cohort.
View demographics →Distribution, offer-rate curve, calculator, marking criteria.
Open LNAT page →